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10 Mar 2023

Malaysia: Unemployment ticked lower in January – UOB

Senior Economist Julia Goh and Economist Loke Siew Ting at UOB Group comments on the recent publication of the labour market report in Malaysia.

Key Takeaways

“Malaysia’s labour market started the year of 2023 with marginal improvement. The nation’s unemployment declined for the 18th consecutive month by 3.5k or 0.6% m/m to 596.1k in Jan while the labour force expanded for the 19th month in a row by 25.4k or 0.2% m/m to a fresh record high of 16.8mn. This helped to keep the country’s unemployment rate steady at 3.6% for the fourth succeeding month.”

“Total employment improved further by 28.9k or 0.2% m/m to 16.2mn, a new record high. It was again driven by increased hiring across all economic sectors, led by the services and manufacturing industries.”

“We expect Malaysia’s labour market to maintain its softer recovery momentum this year, supported by various government initiatives to create and retain job opportunities as well as to raise the people’s income amid a moderate domestic growth outlook (MOF est: 4.5%, UOB est: 4.0%, 2022: 8.7%). Lingering global uncertainty and cautious business sentiment amid still high business operating costs are key deterrents to a stronger and faster improvement in the labour market at this juncture. We reiterate our year-end unemployment rate forecast of 3.2% for this year (vs MOF est: 3.5%-3.7%, end-2022: 3.6%).”

Mar 10, 2023

EUR/USD: Prone to renewed softness on the charts – Scotiabank

EUR/USD is trading modestly higher. However, economists at Scotiabank note that technicals are leaning bearish for the pair. Key support aligns at 1.0
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Mar 10, 2023

USD Index Price Analysis: Extra gains seen above 105.88

DXY adds to Thursday’s daily decline and challenges the 105.00 neighbourhood ahead of the release of US NFP on Friday. Despite the corrective decline,
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