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NZD/USD consolidates near 0.6250 post intraday gains, US inflation awaited

  • NZD/USD snaps its two-day losing streak ahead of US inflation data.
  • Market expects an increase in both monthly and yearly US CPI figures.
  • New Zealand Building Permits declined by 10.6%, marking a 15-month low.

NZD/USD advances to near 0.6250 during the European session on Thursday. The NZD/USD pair receives upward support due to the improved market sentiment ahead of the inflation data from the United States (US).

Later in the North American session, the Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December in the United States will be revealed. Forecasts suggest an increase in both the monthly and yearly CPI, with expectations of a 0.2% rise in the monthly figure and a 3.2% increase in the yearly figure. Concurrently, Core inflation on a year-over-year basis is anticipated to ease at 3.8%, while the month-over-month change is projected to remain steady at 0.3%.

Moreover, market participants price in the five rate cuts by the US Federal Reserve (Fed) in the year 2024, which puts pressure on the Greenback. The US Dollar Index (DXY) remains subdued, influenced by softer US Treasury yields.

New Zealand's primary housing market indicator revealed a decrease in the issuance of permits for new construction projects in the country. In November 2023, the seasonally adjusted Building Permits (MoM) witnessed a substantial decline, plummeting by 10.6%, marking a 15-month low compared to the previous reading, which showed an 8.5% increase.

However, the positive Consumer Confidence and Business Confidence data in November have improved the market sentiment that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) will uphold a hawkish stance by abstaining from any rate cuts in the upcoming meeting. This has been contributing to a favorable outlook for the New Zealand Dollar.

 

EUR/USD may stabilise around current levels unless US CPI surprises on the upside – ING

EUR/USD remains below the 1.10 figure. Economists at ING analyze the pair’s outlook.
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Italy Industrial Output s.a. (MoM) below expectations (-0.2%) in November: Actual (-1.5%)

Italy Industrial Output s.a. (MoM) below expectations (-0.2%) in November: Actual (-1.5%)
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