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AUD/JPY Price Analysis: Bulls display signs of fatigue, potential shift remains possible

  • Daily chart indicators suggest a slowdown in buying traction with RSI positioned above 70 indicating overbought conditions.
  • Hourly chart indicators weaken, implying the possibility of short-term losses in the upcoming Asian session.
  • The bulls might not have enough traction to retest the cycle highs above 105.00.

In Tuesday's session, the AUD/JPY pair continued to edge higher, securing some gains but at a seemingly slower pace, stabilizing around the 104.60 mark. Given the extended upward phase with 15 gains out of the last 19 sessions, buyers may be showing signs of fatigue. The market could be heading towards a short-term correction as indicators flash overbought signals.

On the daily chart, the RSI has inched above the 70 territory, an area typically considered overbought. This situation, along with the MACD producing red bars, suggests that while buyers still hold control, their grip is loosening.

AUD/JPY daily chart

The hourly chart portrays similar sentiments. The RSI is nearing 50 and displays a downward bias. Concurrently, the MACD prints rising red bars, hinting at a weakening bullish momentum in the near term.

AUD/JPY hourly chart

Zooming out for the big picture, the AUD/JPY continues to trade above all three key Simple Moving Average (SMA) benchmarks of 20, 100, and 200 days, affirming a bullish perspective. However, with the pair stabilizing around multi-year highs, and overt signs of buyer exhaustion, the possibility of a near-term correction is becoming increasingly apparent. The main resistance is the cycle high just above 105.00 while the 20-day SMA at 103.12 offers itself as a strong support.

 

AUD/JPY

Overview
Today last price 104.5
Today Daily Change 0.09
Today Daily Change % 0.09
Today daily open 104.41
 
Trends
Daily SMA20 103
Daily SMA50 101.03
Daily SMA100 99.27
Daily SMA200 97.54
 
Levels
Previous Daily High 104.46
Previous Daily Low 103.86
Previous Weekly High 104.56
Previous Weekly Low 103.48
Previous Monthly High 105.04
Previous Monthly Low 97.78
Daily Fibonacci 38.2% 104.23
Daily Fibonacci 61.8% 104.09
Daily Pivot Point S1 104.03
Daily Pivot Point S2 103.64
Daily Pivot Point S3 103.42
Daily Pivot Point R1 104.63
Daily Pivot Point R2 104.85
Daily Pivot Point R3 105.24

 

 

USD/JPY Price Analysis: Advances modestly and reclaims 157.00

The USD/JPY wavers around 157.00 as the Greenback remains steady in Tuesday’s session.
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GBP/JPY breaks into fresh multi-decade highs as Yen continues to soften

GBP/JPY drifted into a new 34-year high above 200.60 on Tuesday as Yen pairs continue to pare away JPY strength following suspected “Yenterventions” from the Bank of Japan (BoJ) and Japanese Minstry of Finance who overspent nine trillion Yen on miscellaneous financial operations and is broadly assumed to have intervened directly in global markets in an attempt to shore up the battered Yen.
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