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15 Apr 2025

USD/CNH: Unlikely to break above 7.3350 – UOB Group

US Dollar (USD) could edge higher vs Chinese Yuan (CNH), but any advance is unlikely to break above 7.3350. In the longer run, sharp but short-lived price action has resulted in a mixed outlook; USD is likely to trade between 7.2430 and 7.3700 for now.

Sharp but short-lived price action results in a mixed outlook

24-HOUR VIEW: "Yesterday, we indicated that 'there is a chance for USD to dip below 7.2700.' We pointed out, 'Resistance levels are at 7.3150 and 7.3350.' Our view was incorrect, as USD rebounded from 7.2780 to 7.3249, closing at 7.3096, up by 0.42%. There has been a slight increase in upward momentum. Today, USD could edge higher, but any advance is unlikely to break above 7.3350. On the downside, support levels are at 7.3020 and 7.2950."

1-3 WEEKS VIEW: "Our latest narrative was from last Friday (11 Apr, spot at 7.3100), wherein the recent 'sharp but short-lived price action has resulted in a mixed outlook.' For the time being, we expect USD to 'trade between 7.2430 and 7.3700.' There is no change in our view."

Apr 15, 2025

HUF: S&P’s downgrades exerts additional pressure – Commerzbank

Last week after business hours on Friday, Standard & Poor’s issued a downgrade of outlook on Hungary’s sovereign debt from stable to negative. S&P already rates the issuer at 'BBB-/A-3', the lowest within investment grade, which highlights the significance of a negative outlook from here.
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Apr 15, 2025

Gold continues to enjoy a tailwind – Commerzbank

The exemption of some electronics products from the reciprocal US tariffs has provided some relief on the stock market, although expectations were quickly dampened again by the threat that the products would soon be subject to sectoral tariffs, Commerzbank's commodity analyst Thu Lan Nguyen notes.
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