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22 Apr 2025

EUR consolidates rally from February lows – Scotiabank

The Euro (EUR) is softer, down 0.2% against the US Dollar (USD) and underperforming most of the G10 currencies along with Swiss Franc (CHF) and Australian Dollar (AUD), Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.

ECB sees US tariffs as disinflationary

"The EUR’s modest weakness is likely just a pause following its impressive rally from recent lows just above parity. The market tone is mixed and muted overall, offering no clear thematic drivers."

"Preliminary PMI’s are scheduled for release on Wednesday and are expected to show a continued contraction in manufacturing alongside a softening in services growth. Comments from ECB Gov. Council member Rehn were dovish, highlighting that US tariffs were a short-term headwind to euro area inflation."

"EUR/USD looks to be settling into a short-lived period of consolidation following its impressive rally from its early February lows. Momentum signals are bullish and overbought, with an RSI around 74. We look to near-term support below 1.14 and anticipate resistance above 1.1550."

Apr 22, 2025

GBP/USD consolidates 10-day rally – Scotiabank

Pound Sterling (GBP) is entering Tuesday’s American session flat against the US Dollar (USD) and showing signs of exhaustion following an astounding 10-session rally that culminated in Monday’s surge through 1.34, Scotiabank's Chief FX Strategist Shaun Osborne notes.
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Apr 22, 2025

USD/JPY Price Forecast: At make or a break around 140.00

The USD/JPY pair recovers some of its intraday losses but is still trading down near 140.65 during North American trading hours on Tuesday. The asset has demonstrated a sharp downside move in the last two weeks and revisited the 21-month low near 139.60.
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